
The religion researcher, Ryan Burge posted this table on X recently. He wrote, “A lot of folks assume that many Protestant denominations will just slowly decline over the next few decades. That’s not going to happen. The Boomers are propping most of them up right now. When they age out, it’s gonna get back. Really fast. No one is ready.”
Burge makes some basic assumptions here. Namely, that there will be no replacement of this age group, and the general trend will continue. He may be right, and time will tell. The Baby Boomer Generation is generally considered to be those born between 1946-1964. Meaning they are currently between 62 and 80 years old. The average life expectancy in the United States is currently 79 years old.
Older generations historically had higher participation rates in church, while non-religious identity is highest among Millennials and Gen Z. What does all of this have to do with church planting? Church planting will continue to be important in the mission of God for reaching communities for Christ. As it relates to Southern Baptists, 45% of our adults are Baby Boomers. When one considers average life expectancy, we could be facing a cliff within 15-20 years.
What are we doing to reach younger generations? Are we placing the emphases of our ministries where they need to be? Are we praying for the power of God to work through us, not just to collect people who are already churched, but who need Christ? These questions and more will be of paramount importance moving forward.
The survival of the church does not depend on it because we know Jesus made an irrevocable promise and spoke with certainty about His church. However, the health of the church and its survival in local contexts are certainly in view. Let’s pray and make the commitment to do our part to reach the generations to come for Christ!



